Chance of Rain on Acker Night

09 December 2014   Dr. Curtis James
Friday could be wet. 

The figure above indicates the forecasted high in orange (with error bar denoting the range of ensemble forecast members), average high for this time of year in orange (dashed line), forecasted low in blue (with error bar), average low this time of year in blue (dashed line), and forecasted wind speed in purple. Note that the wind speed forecast is sustained wind (not gusts), and it is based on only one model (not an ensemble). 

Weather Discussion:

High pressure over the Southwest will dominate most of your workweek, brining warmer-than-normal conditions, light wind, and periods of high clouds expected but no precipitation. However, this Friday an upper-level trough will dig southward along the West Coast and then across the state on Saturday. Low pressure at the surface will move into the Great Basin (Utah and Nevada), with an associated cold front expected to move across Arizona on Friday evening. Expect breezy and cooler conditions with chance of rain on Friday (especially Friday evening), and a slight chance for scattered light rain/snow showers on Saturday. Make sure you prepare to bundle up and bring your umbrella to Acker night.

Around Tuesday – Wednesday of next week, another storm system could affect our area. Stay tuned…

C. James

Met Mail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once or twice a week via e-mail by the Embry-Riddle Department of Meteorology (http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/). Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Applied Meteorology. Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates!

Further Information:

ERAU Applied Meteorology degree program

Official National Weather Service forecast

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