The figure above indicates the forecasted high in orange (with error bar denoting the range of ensemble forecast members), average high for this time of year in orange (dashed line), forecasted low in blue (with error bar), average low this time of year in blue (dashed line), and forecasted wind speed in purple. Note that the wind speed forecast is sustained wind (not gusts), and it is based on only one model (not an ensemble).
High pressure will continue to dominate the weather pattern over the Southwest for the next week.
An upper-level cut-off low south of Arizona could circulate some moisture into the southern part of the state on Monday before a disturbance from the north moves through. Another subtropical trough could circulate moist air and cloudiness into Arizona next Friday-Saturday. Nevertheless, precipitation is unlikely for yet another week.
Happy Valentine’s Day!
Met Mail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once or twice a week via e-mail by the Embry-Riddle Department of Meteorology (http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/). Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Applied Meteorology. Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates!
ERAU Applied Meteorology degree program
Official National Weather Service forecast